NBA Eastern Conference finals: Celtics vs. Heat odds, Game 5 picks, prediction from expert on 35-16 roll

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics will meet for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals on Wednesday night. Boston dominated Game 4 in a 102-82 decision that leveled the series at 2-2. Both teams are dealing with injuries, as Boston’s Marcus Smart (ankle) and Miami’s Tyler Herro (groin) are both questionable to play.

Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Celtics as 2.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 204 in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. Celtics picks and NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine expert Zack Cimini has to say.

A Las Vegas handicapper who’s never afraid to buck conventional wisdom, Cimini excels in multiple sports. Over the past 33 NBA selections, Cimini is 22-11, returning almost $1,000 to $100 players. He is also on an amazing 35-16-1 run with his last 52 against-the-spread picks involving the Celtics, returning $1,648 to $100 players during that span. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Cimini has set his sights on Celtics vs. Heat, and just locked in his picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Heat spread: Celtics -2.5
  • Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 204 points
  • Celtics vs. Heat money line: Celtics -140, Heat +120
  • Celtics vs. Heat tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • BOS: The Celtics are 10-5 against the spread in playoff games
  • MIA: The Heat are 9-6 against the spread in playoff games

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston put together one of the most dominant performances of any team this postseason on Monday, using an 18-1 start to take complete control of the game. The Celtics were able to dominate even without Smart, who could return to the lineup on Wednesday. Jayson Tatum bounced back from a rough performance in Game 3 with 31 points in Game 4.  

Tatum and running mate Jaylen Brown combined for just four turnovers, making Boston very difficult to contend with. The Celtics are the better defensive team and have less injury concerns than Miami, making them the rightful favorites on Wednesday. In addition, the Celtics have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games.

Why the Heat can cover

Miami’s offense sputtered considerably in Game 4, but the Heat have a strong baseline on that end of the floor. The Heat are grabbing 30.4 percent of missed shots on the offensive glass in the playoffs, and Miami led the NBA in 3-point accuracy (37.9 percent) during the regular season. The Heat also ranked solidly in the top 10 of the league in 3-pointers per game, free throw accuracy, assists per game, and assist percentage. 

Additionally, Miami is elite on defense, ranking in the top four of the NBA in several major statistical categories during the 82-game regular season. The Heat are also yielding less than 1.08 points per possession in the playoffs, and Miami is averaging a robust 19.0 points per game off turnovers. Miami is forcing a Boston turnover on 16.1 percent of defensive possessions during the series, averaging 9.3 steals per game in the process. 

How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks

For Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals, Cimini is leaning over on the point total, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the expert that has crushed his NBA picks, and find out.  

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