Wizards vs. Thunder prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 11 best bets from model on 52-28 run

Tuesday’s NBA slate begins with a cross-conference battle in the nation’s capital as the Washington Wizards host the Oklahoma City Thunder at Capital One Arena. Washington is 20-20 this season, with OKC bringing a 13-26 record into this contest. Kenrich Williams (protocols) and Isaiah Roby (protocols) are out for the Thunder. Bradley Beal (protocols), Thomas Bryant (knee) and Anthony Gill (protocols) are out for the Wizards.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Washington. Caesars Sportsbook lists Washington as the 6.5-point favorites at home, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 211 in the latest Thunder vs. Wizards odds. Before locking in any Wizards vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wizards vs. Thunder, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Thunder vs. Wizards:

  • Thunder vs. Wizards spread: Wizards -6.5
  • Thunder vs. Wizards over-under: 211 points
  • OKC: The Thunder are 11-7 against the spread in road games
  • WASH: The Wizards are 11-6 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Why the Thunder can cover

Oklahoma City’s defense is impressive in several categories. The Thunder are allowing only 18.4 free-throw attempts per game, ranking in the top five of the NBA, and Oklahoma City is No. 2 in the league in fast-break points allowed (9.0 per game). Opponents are shooting only 44.3 percent from the field and 51.1 percent from 2-point range against Oklahoma City, and the Thunder are securing 73.5 percent of available defensive rebounds after forcing a missed shot. 

The Thunder also protect the paint well, giving up only 43.8 points in the paint per game, and Oklahoma City should also benefit from Washington’s shortcomings. The Wizards are dead-last in the NBA in 3-pointers, making only 10.1 per game, and Washington is No. 27 in 3-point accuracy. On the other end, the Wizards are dead-last in steals, with bottom-five marks in free-throw prevention and turnover creation. Oklahoma City commits only 13.6 turnovers per game, an above-average mark for ball security.

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington’s defense is playing well this season, and Oklahoma City’s offense has glaring weaknesses. The Wizards lead the NBA in allowing only 8.4 fast break points per game, and Washington is No. 2 in the league in preventing three-pointers, giving up only 10.8 triples per game. Washington is No. 6 in assists allowed (22.8 per game), with a top-10 mark in defensive rebound rate, securing 73.8 percent of missed shots. 

Oklahoma City’s offense is really scuffling, including a league-worst mark of 100.8 points per 100 possessions. The Thunder are last in the NBA in field goal percentage (41.3 percent), three-point percentage (30.8 percent), true shooting percentage (51.1 percent), and assists (20.7 per game), with a bottom-five mark in creating free throws, with only 19.4 attempts per contest.

How to make Thunder vs. Wizards picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 206 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Wizards vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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