Celtics vs. Heat prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 1 best bets from model on 87-59 run

The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics square off in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals on Tuesday evening now that the 2022 NBA playoff bracket is down to four teams. Boston defeated the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks en route to the conference finals. On the other side, Miami topped the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers to advance. Kyle Lowry (hamstring) is out for Miami, while forward P.J. Tucker (calf), guard Gabe Vincent (hamstring), and guard Max Strus (hamstring) are all listed as questionable. Boston guard Marcus Smart (foot) is questionable.

Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET at TD Garden. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami at -2 in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds. The over-under for total points is set at 203.5, down two points from the opening line. Before finalizing any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Heat spread: Miami -2
  • Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 204 points
  • Celtics vs. Heat money line: Miami -135, Boston +115
  • Celtics vs. Heat tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • MIA: Heat are 4-2 ATS in their last six 
  • BOS: Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games as road underdogs

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Heat can cover

Guard Tyler Herro provides Miami with immediate offense off the bench. Herro is extremely accurate from the outside and can drain 3-pointers with regularity. The 2022 Sixth Man of the Year isn’t afraid to attack the rim with defenders becoming overly aggressive. Herro is averaging 13.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game.

Strus (questionable, hamstring), is another scoring threat for the Heat, supplementing the play of stars Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. Strus is a solid scoring option and puts up 12.5 points with 4.4 rebounds per game. The DePaul product logged back-to-back double-doubles to close out the Philadelphia 76ers. Guard Victor Oladipo is another good defender who can get to the rim. The Indiana product uses his length for constant steals and to swarm opposing players. 

Why the Celtics can cover

Forward Jayson Tatum is an instinctive scorer with a versatile offensive game plan. Tatum has fantastic footwork to consistently win his one-on-one matchups. The Duke product has a smooth-looking jumper from the perimeter as well, shooting 38 percent from downtown. Tatum is leading the team in scoring (28.3) with 5.6 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

Guard Jaylen Brown is an explosive athlete with remarkable leaping ability. Brown constantly attacks the paint and can soar above any defender. The 2021 All-Star rebounds the ball well and has a nice mid-range jumper. Brown is putting up 22.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. He’s recorded 25-plus points in three games during the semifinals. 

How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 207 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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