Bucks vs. Kings prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 22 best bets from model on 56-30 run

Saturday’s NBA schedule features just three games, and one is an intriguing contest at Fiserv Forum. The Milwaukee Bucks welcome the Sacramento Kings to town for a cross-conference matchup. Milwaukee (29-19) is on the second night of a back-to-back after being the Bulls on Friday, and Sacramento is 18-29 overall and 6-13 on the road this season. The Kings have a clean injury report for Saturday’s game, while Brook Lopez (back) is the only injury of note for Milwaukee. 

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Milwaukee is listed as a 9.5-point home favorite at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 230.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Kings odds. Before making any Kings vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Kings, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Kings vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Kings spread: Bucks -9.5
  • Bucks vs. Kings over-under: 230.5 points
  • Sacramento: The Kings are 7-12 against the spread in road games
  • Milwaukee: The Bucks are 2-6 against the spread with no rest

Why the Kings can cover

The Kings are elite in key categories on the offensive side of the floor. Sacramento is No. 3 in the NBA in free-throw attempts, producing 22.6 per game, and the Kings are in the top five in 49.1 points in the paint per game. Sacramento is also near the top of the league in fast-break points, averaging 13.0 per game, with top-10 marks in second-chance points (14.2 per game), offensive rebound rate (27.6 percent) and turnover rate (less than 14 percent). 

Milwaukee is No. 29 in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed on defense, paving an avenue for Sacramento to find success, and the Bucks are also below the NBA’s average in assists allowed to opponents. On the other end, the Kings are in the top 10 in 3-pointers allowed, giving up only 11.8 triples per game, and Milwaukee is below-average in assists per game on offense.

Why the Bucks can cover

The Bucks are very good on offense, scoring 111.3 points per 100 possessions. That ranks in the top 10 in offensive efficiency, with Milwaukee also above-average in 3-pointers (14.3 per game), 3-point accuracy (36.2 percent) and free-throw attempts (21.4 per game). Sacramento is No. 28 in the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed on defense, with the Kings landing in the bottom five of the league in overall defensive efficiency. 

On the other side of the floor, the Bucks are holding opponents to fewer than 1.08 points per possession, with Milwaukee ranking in the top six in points in the paint allowed, field-goal percentage allowed and 3-point percentage allowed. The Bucks are in the top 10 in fast-break points allowed (11.6 per game), with above-average defensive rebounding. Sacramento struggles in 3-point accuracy, assists and free-throw accuracy on offense.

How to make Kings vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Kings? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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